Солнечная энергетика: сегодня и завтра

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Dengan demikian, seseorang tidak dapat "memotong bahu seseorang" dan terburu-buru tesis tentang energi surya tanpa melihat wilayah, kondisi iklim dan kondisi lain dari kasus tertentu. Menurut pendapat kami, pendekatan "niche" harus diterapkan untuk memahami penerimaan pembangkit tenaga surya.

Perkiraan kuantitatif - biaya listrik

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. -, . , , , 10% — . , 43 (, ) 10% [10]. , , , . , $100/* , ($100 ), . .

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, , .. , , . ( 7,5% 2014) 250 . . “ ”, , .. — 100 2022 [11].

. , . , , . 0,5-1 . , [12]. 100 2020 400 2030 [13]. , 2015 5 33 [14], .

, . , $250-350/*, 14% [15]. .

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. . , (. ), 7% . 10%, — 30% [17], . — , , [18]. , , .

2014 145 , 99% () [19]. () , — .


[20,21]

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EROEI —

Secara singkat tentang profitabilitas energi, dengan contoh dan perhitungan, telah dijelaskan dalam artikel sebelumnya , jadi kami menghilangkan pengulangan dasar-dasarnya. Fotovoltaik EROEI bukanlah "rahasia di balik tujuh meterai" dan ada banyak penelitian tentang hal ini. Jika kami merangkum 38 studi [22], kami bisa mendapatkan rentang EROEI berikut untuk berbagai teknologi:



Menurut kami, ini adalah hasil yang baik. Dengan demikian, dengan penuh semangat, sel surya terbayar dalam 0,5-4 tahun.

Aspek teritorial

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GoogleMaps

, . , 140140 [9]. 25 , 9090 .

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[23,24,25,26]

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• - 2030-

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[12]:



, , , . : 120-240 2020 [28]. , .

:
1. www.iea-pvps.org/fileadmin/dam/public/report/technical/PVPS_report_-_A_Snapshot_of_Global_PV_-_1992-2014.pdf
2. www.iea.org/bookshop/480-Medium-Term_Renewable_Energy_Market_Report_2014
3. www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/TechnologyRoadmapSolarPhotovoltaicEnergy_2014edition.pdf
4. www.iea.org/media/workshops/2014/solarelectricity/bnef2lcoeofpv.pdf
5. www.db.com/cr/en/docs/solar_report_full_length.pdf
6. www.agora-energiewende.org/fileadmin/downloads/publikationen/Studien/PV_Cost_2050/AgoraEnergiewende_Current_and_Future_Cost_of_PV_Feb2015_web.pdf
7. www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/IRENA_RE_Power_Costs_2014_report.pdf
8. www.ise.fraunhofer.de/en/publications/veroeffentlichungen-pdf-dateien-en/studien-und-konzeptpapiere/study-levelized-cost-of-electricity-renewable-energies.pdf
9. mitei.mit.edu/system/files/MIT%20Future%20of%20Solar%20Energy%20Study_compressed.pdf
10. data.worldbank.org/indicator/EG.ELC.PETR.ZS
11. mnre.gov.in/file-manager/UserFiles/Draft-Scheme-Solar-Park-and-Ultra-Mega-Solar-Power-Projects-for-comments.pdf
12. www.iea-pvps.org/index.php?id=3&eID=dam_frontend_push&docID=2150
13. www.cnrec.org.cn/go/AttachmentDownload.aspx?id={1056eb44-8882-46a2-b4a4-c45c42d5c608}
14. cleantechnica.com/2015/04/20/china-installed-5-04-gw-new-solar-q115
15. www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/4602.0.55.001
16. www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/projected_costs.pdf
17. www.ise.fraunhofer.de/en/downloads-englisch/pdf-files-englisch/data-nivc-/electricity-production-from-solar-and-wind-in-germany-2014.pdf
18. www.ise.fraunhofer.de/en/publications/veroeffentlichungen-pdf-dateien-en/studien-und-konzeptpapiere/recent-facts-about-photovoltaics-in-germany.pdf
19. www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/Tracking_Clean_Energy_Progress_2015.pdf
20. www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/TechnologyRoadmapEnergystorage.pdf
21. energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2013/08/f2/ElecStorageHndbk2013.pdf
22. www.researchgate.net/profile/Defne_Apul/publication/273818473_Energy_payback_time_%28EPBT%29_and_energy_return_on_energy_invested_%28EROI%29_of_solar_photovoltaic_systems_A_systematic_review_and_meta-analysis/links/55143adb0cf23203199d12be.pdf?disableCoverPage=true
23. www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/tablebrowser/#release=IEO2011&subject=9-IEO2011&table=25-IEO2011®ion=0-0&cases=Reference-0504a_1630
24. www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/tablebrowser/#release=IEO2013&subject=9-IEO2013&table=25-IEO2013®ion=0-0&cases=Reference-d041117
25. www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/weo2006.pdf
26. www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/weo2009.pdf
27. www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/excel/Energy-Economics/statistical-review-2014/BP-Statistical_Review_of_world_energy_2014_workbook.xlsx
28. data.worldbank.org/indicator/EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS